For a majority of Americans, Social Security income is an absolute necessity during retirement. In each of the last 23 years, national pollster Gallup has surveyed retirees to gauge how reliant they are on their Social Security check.

The Social Security Administration will officially announce the 2025 cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) on Oct. 10, 2024. It might seem like an arbitrary date to you, but it's not. That's when the government releases the September figure for the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W).

The latest cost-of-living-adjustment estimate for Social Security benefits next year is expected to be about 2.5%, according to the nonpartisan Senior Citizens League

Below are the latest expert predictions for what the 2025 COLA could be as of September 2024. For more, don't miss how to apply for Supplemental Security Income and how to estimate how much in Social Security benefits you could receive .

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The Senior Citizens League projects next year’s cost of living adjustment on a day when the Consumer Price Index rose 2.5% over the last year.

The inflation data for August gives us a pretty good idea about the likely magnitude of Social Security’s cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) for 2025. This automatic indexing of benefits to keep up with rising prices — always a wonderful feature of our Social Security program — has been particularly valuable in light of the recent bout of inflation.

Social Security COLAs are tied directly to inflation. Therefore, when one goes down, it indicates that the other is down, too. In other words, a smaller 2025 COLA means inflation has been cooling. If that trend continues, seniors on Social Security could gain buying power in the form of lower prices in stores and in general.