According to household surveys, inflation expectations tend to move together with expectations for gasoline price changes.

Huiyu Li, research advisor at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, shared views on the current economy and the outlook ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. The Treasury yield premium model by Jens H.E. Christensen and Glenn D. Rudebusch (CR) decomposes the nominal yield curve into three ...

Economic activity in the Twelfth District was little changed during the July to mid-August reporting period. Employers largely maintained employment levels. Wages were up slightly. Prices rose ...

With the advent of generative artificial intelligence (GenAI), the scope of AI has increased dramatically, but its effect on labour productivity remains uncertain. Some innovations raise labour ...

Nearly 40% of small business respondents to the 2024 Small Business Credit Survey (SBCS) reported either using or planning to use artificial intelligence (AI), revealing a rapidly evolving landscape ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. This site presents a weekly and monthly series of the proxy funds rate, following Doh and Choi (2016), Choi, Doh, Foerster, and Martinez ...

The China Cyclical Activity Tracker, China CAT, is an alternative measure of China’s economic growth based on research in Fernald, Hsu, and Spiegel (2020). The China CAT index measures fluctuations in ...

Economic activity in the Twelfth District was little changed during the July to mid-August reporting period. Employers largely maintained employment levels. Wages were up slightly. Prices rose ...

Regional data provide indicators measuring characteristics of the dual mandate across the nation. This page provides data on labor market conditions, prices, and earnings for the 50 states and the ...

Extreme heat decreases labor productivity in sectors like construction, where much work occurs outdoors. Because construction is an important component of investment, lost productivity today will slow ...

The unemployment rate has risen over half a percentage point since the second quarter of 2023. Individual survey data underlying the unemployment rate can help in assessing which labor market ...