After a poor performance in 2020, pre-election polls this year were largely accurate in depicting a tight race between Donald ...

The available data confirms that Donald Trump made inroads among Hispanic, Black and big-city voters. The results mean that, ...

These may not be the best numbers, but they are below average errors, i.e., as I suggested previously, the average error in ...

President-elect Donald Trump has long presented pollsters with a challenge. Here's what polling underestimated and what it ...

Trump has outperformed polling predictions in the last three elections. Here are one pollster's takeaways from 2024 election ...

Polls are almost always at least a bit off. Some of that is due to imperfect assumptions about what the likely voter ...

The following states will close their polls at 8 p.m. local time on Election Day: New York polls opened at 6 a.m. and close ...

According to early exit polls, Catholic voters supported Trump over Harris by a nearly 20-point margin. In 2020, Catholics ...

Senegal will vote in legislative elections on Sunday that will determine whether the new president and government can gain ...

Exit polls don’t have a very good track record, and they can contribute to misleading narratives on election night.

One week ago, Donald Trump won the US Election and will be inaugurated as the 47th President of the United States in January, ...

The polls “were better than they were in the past, but they still kind of fundamentally understated Trump in a way that I think that the public won’t find particularly satisfa ...